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MESSAGE

DATE	2020-10-30
FROM	Ruben Safir
SUBJECT	Subject: [Hangout - NYLXS] Democratic control of NYC
wsj.com New York State Senate Democrats Hope Election Wins Net Veto Power Jimmy Vielkind 6-8 minutes Democrats secured a majority in the New York state Senate when they gained eight seats in the 2018 elections. This year, they have their sights on winning a supermajority that would let them override a gubernatorial veto. No party has controlled two-thirds of the 63-seat chamber since 1947. But Deputy Senate Majority Leader Mike Gianaris said his fellow Democrats are pushing to reach the threshold�which would allow them to override a gubernatorial veto�in next week�s elections. �It would give us that much more bargaining power to push our agenda,� Mr. Gianaris said. There are now 40 Democratic senators, so the party would need a net gain of two seats to reach a supermajority. Democrats already make up more than two-thirds of the 150-seat state Assembly and all statewide officeholders�including Gov. Andrew Cuomo�are members of the party. A spokesman for Mr. Cuomo said he couldn�t think of anything the Legislature would pass that the governor wouldn�t sign, and that he �looks forward to a growing conference.� Legislators haven�t overridden any of Mr. Cuomo�s vetoes since he took office in 2011. In the last two years, Democrats strengthened and made permanent rent regulations for roughly a million apartments, enhanced abortion protections, set new climate goals and changed criminal-justice laws, including the elimination of cash bail for many offenses. Republican leaders say two years of Democratic control have given them something to rally against�particularly the bail changes. Senate Republican Leader Robert Ortt said the new law contributed to an increase in crime this year, and faulted Mr. Gianaris for helping to scuttle Amazon.com Inc.�s plans to bring at least 25,000 jobs to a headquarters campus in Queens for up to $3 billion in tax incentives. State Polls Fell Short in 2016. Here�s What Pollsters Learned 0:00 / 6:56 5:26 State Polls Fell Short in 2016. Here�s What Pollsters Learned State Polls Fell Short in 2016. Here�s What Pollsters Learned In 2016, problems with state-level election polls left some voters surprised by the outcome. Since then, many pollsters have made changes in the hope of accurately capturing the mood of the country ahead of the 2020 election. Photo illustration: Laura Kammermann The two houses of the New York state Legislature were divided by party for most of the last 50 years. When Democrats won a majority of state Senate seats in 2018, it put the party in full control of state government. �This is a conference that has passed terrible changes to the criminal justice system that have single-handedly marshaled law enforcement against them,� Mr. Ortt said. Republicans are on the offensive in a half-dozen downstate seats. They are targeting Sens. Kevin Thomas, James Gaughran and Monica Martinez on Long Island; Sen. Andrew Gounardes in Brooklyn; and Sens. Jen Metzger and Pete Harckham in the Hudson Valley. Law enforcement unions and a cosmetics heir, Ronald Lauder, have spent millions of dollars through political independent expenditure committees to amplify their message. Mr. Gianaris dismissed this as fearmongering, and said changes to the bail law have made the legal system fairer for all defendants. He said subsidies for Amazon weren�t justified, and noted the company has been expanding in New York City regardless. Several outside groups are helping Democrats, and the party�s candidates and centralized campaign committee have outspent Republicans by as much as 10 to 1 in some key districts, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis of campaign finance records. Senate Republican Leader Robert Ortt said that since gaining the majority in 2018, Democrats have �passed terrible changes to the criminal justice system.� Photo: Hans Pennink/Associated Press Democrats are on offense in a host of upstate districts where Republican incumbents aren�t seeking re-election as a result of retirement or taking a new job. Democrats are also outspending Republicans in these areas. There are almost 38,000 more enrolled Democrats than Republicans in the Buffalo-area seat where Democrat Sean Ryan and Republican Josh Mertzlufft are vying to succeed Chris Jacobs, a Republican who now serves in Congress. Democrats have at least a 25,000-voter enrollment edge in two Rochester-area seats that are now represented by retiring Sens. Joe Robach and Rich Funke. SHARE YOUR THOUGHTS If Democrats attain a veto-proof supermajority in the New York state Senate, what legislative priorities do you think they will pursue? Join the conversation below. Another key variable is the contest between President Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden. Democratic turnout is typically higher in presidential election years, but in 2016 Mr. Trump increased Republican turnout in most areas outside of New York City compared with Mitt Romney�s 2012 run. Democratic performance in most areas outside New York City was lower in 2016 than in 2012. Siena College Research Institute pollster Steven Greenberg said surveys in New York this year show roughly a quarter of Republicans say they will support Mr. Biden over Mr. Trump. That could have effects in down-ballot races. �Do they stay on Row A and go down all away, or do they come back and vote Row B?� Mr. Greenberg said. Write to Jimmy Vielkind at Jimmy.Vielkind-at-wsj.com -- So many immigrant groups have swept through our town that Brooklyn, like Atlantis, reaches mythological proportions in the mind of the world - RI Safir 1998 http://www.mrbrklyn.com DRM is THEFT - We are the STAKEHOLDERS - RI Safir 2002 http://www.nylxs.com - Leadership Development in Free Software http://www.brooklyn-living.com Being so tracked is for FARM ANIMALS and extermination camps, but incompatible with living as a free human being. -RI Safir 2013 _______________________________________________ Hangout mailing list Hangout-at-nylxs.com http://lists.mrbrklyn.com/mailman/listinfo/hangout